Source code for UQpy.sampling.mcmc.DREAM

import logging
from typing import Callable
import warnings

import numpy as np

warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')

from beartype import beartype
from UQpy.sampling.mcmc.baseclass.MCMC import MCMC
from UQpy.distributions import *
from UQpy.utilities.ValidationTypes import *


[docs]class DREAM(MCMC): @beartype def __init__( self, pdf_target: Union[Callable, list[Callable]] = None, log_pdf_target: Union[Callable, list[Callable]] = None, args_target: tuple = None, burn_length: Annotated[int, Is[lambda x: x >= 0]] = 0, jump: PositiveInteger = 1, dimension: int = None, seed: list = None, save_log_pdf: bool = False, concatenate_chains: bool = True, jump_rate: int = 3, c: float = 0.1, c_star: float = 1e-6, crossover_probabilities_number: int = 3, gamma_probability: float = 0.2, crossover_adaptation: tuple = (-1, 1), check_chains: tuple = (-1, 1), random_state: RandomStateType = None, n_chains: int = None, nsamples: int = None, nsamples_per_chain: int = None, ): """ DiffeRential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis algorithm :cite:`Dream1` :cite:`Dream2` :param pdf_target: Target density function from which to draw random samples. Either `pdf_target` or `log_pdf_target` must be provided (the latter should be preferred for better numerical stability). If `pdf_target` is a callable, it refers to the joint pdf to sample from, it must take at least one input **x**, which are the point(s) at which to evaluate the pdf. Within :class:`.MCMC` the `pdf_target` is evaluated as: :code:`p(x) = pdf_target(x, \*args_target)` where **x** is a :class:`numpy.ndarray of shape :code:`(nsamples, dimension)` and `args_target` are additional positional arguments that are provided to :class:`.MCMC` via its `args_target` input. If `pdf_target` is a list of callables, it refers to independent marginals to sample from. The marginal in dimension :code:`j` is evaluated as: :code:`p_j(xj) = pdf_target[j](xj, \*args_target[j])` where **x** is a :class:`numpy.ndarray` of shape :code:`(nsamples, dimension)` :param log_pdf_target: Logarithm of the target density function from which to draw random samples. Either `pdf_target` or `log_pdf_target` must be provided (the latter should be preferred for better numerical stability). Same comments as for input `pdf_target`. :param args_target: Positional arguments of the pdf / log-pdf target function. See `pdf_target` :param burn_length: Length of burn-in - i.e., number of samples at the beginning of the chain to discard (note: no thinning during burn-in). Default is :math:`0`, no burn-in. :param jump: Thinning parameter, used to reduce correlation between samples. Setting :code:`jump=n` corresponds to skipping :code:`n-1` states between accepted states of the chain. Default is :math:`1` (no thinning). :param dimension: A scalar value defining the dimension of target density function. Either `dimension` and `n_chains` or `seed` must be provided. :param seed: Seed of the Markov chain(s), shape :code:`(n_chains, dimension)`. Default: :code:`zeros(n_chains x dimension)`. If `seed` is not provided, both `n_chains` and `dimension` must be provided. :param save_log_pdf: Boolean that indicates whether to save log-pdf values along with the samples. Default: :any:`False` :param concatenate_chains: Boolean that indicates whether to concatenate the chains after a run, i.e., samples are stored as a :class:`numpy.ndarray` of shape :code:`(nsamples * n_chains, dimension)` if :any:`True`, :code:`(nsamples, n_chains, dimension)` if :any:`False`. Default: :any:`True` :param n_chains: The number of Markov chains to generate. Either `dimension` and `n_chains` or `seed` must be provided. :param jump_rate: Jump rate. Default: :math:`3` :param c: Differential evolution parameter. Default: :math:`0.1` :param c_star: Differential evolution parameter, should be small compared to width of target. Default: :math:`1e-6` :param crossover_probabilities_number: Number of crossover probabilities. Default: :math:`3` :param gamma_probability: :code:`Prob(gamma=1)`. Default: :math:`0.2` :param crossover_adaptation: :code:`(iter_max, rate)` governs adaptation of crossover probabilities (adapts every rate iterations if :code:`iter<iter_max`). Default: :code:`(-1, 1)`, i.e., no adaptation :param check_chains: :code:`(iter_max, rate)` governs discarding of outlier chains (discard every rate iterations if :code:`iter<iter_max`). Default: :code:`(-1, 1)`, i.e., no check on outlier chains :param random_state: Random seed used to initialize the pseudo-random number generator. Default is :any:`None`. :param nsamples: Number of samples to generate. :param nsamples_per_chain: Number of samples to generate per chain. """ self.nsamples = nsamples self.nsamples_per_chain = nsamples_per_chain super().__init__( pdf_target=pdf_target, log_pdf_target=log_pdf_target, args_target=args_target, dimension=dimension, seed=seed, burn_length=burn_length, jump=jump, save_log_pdf=save_log_pdf, concatenate_chains=concatenate_chains, random_state=random_state, n_chains=n_chains, ) self.logger = logging.getLogger(__name__) # Check nb of chains if self.n_chains < 2: raise ValueError("UQpy: For the DREAM algorithm, a seed must be provided with at least two samples.") # Check user-specific algorithms self.jump_rate = jump_rate self.c = c self.c_star = c_star self.crossover_probabilities_number = crossover_probabilities_number self.gamma_probability = gamma_probability self.crossover_adaptation = crossover_adaptation self.check_chains = check_chains for key, typ in zip( [ "jump_rate", "c", "c_star", "crossover_probabilities_number", "gamma_probability", ], [int, float, float, int, float], ): if not isinstance(getattr(self, key), typ): raise TypeError("Input " + key + " must be of type " + typ.__name__) if (self.dimension is not None and self.crossover_probabilities_number > self.dimension): self.crossover_probabilities_number = self.dimension for key in ["crossover_adaptation", "check_chains"]: p = getattr(self, key) if not (isinstance(p, tuple) and len(p) == 2 and all(isinstance(i, (int, float)) for i in p)): raise TypeError("Inputs " + key + " must be a tuple of 2 integers.") if (not self.save_log_pdf) and (self.check_chains[0] > 0): raise ValueError("UQpy: Input save_log_pdf must be True in order to check outlier chains") # Initialize a few other variables self.j_ind = np.zeros((self.crossover_probabilities_number,)) self.n_id = np.zeros((self.crossover_probabilities_number,)) self.cross_prob = ( np.ones((self.crossover_probabilities_number,)) / self.crossover_probabilities_number) self.logger.info("UQpy: Initialization of " + self.__class__.__name__ + " algorithm complete.\n") if (nsamples is not None) or (nsamples_per_chain is not None): self.run(nsamples=nsamples, nsamples_per_chain=nsamples_per_chain, )
[docs] def run_one_iteration(self, current_state: np.ndarray, current_log_pdf: np.ndarray): """ Run one iteration of the mcmc chain for DREAM algorithm, starting at current state - see :class:`MCMC` class. """ r_diff = np.array([np.setdiff1d(np.arange(self.n_chains), j) for j in range(self.n_chains)]) cross = (np.arange(1, self.crossover_probabilities_number + 1) / self.crossover_probabilities_number) # Dynamic part: evolution of chains unif_rvs = (Uniform().rvs(nsamples=self.n_chains * (self.n_chains - 1), random_state=self.random_state, ) .reshape((self.n_chains - 1, self.n_chains))) draw = np.argsort(unif_rvs, axis=0) dx = np.zeros_like(current_state) lmda = (Uniform(scale=2 * self.c).rvs(nsamples=self.n_chains, random_state=self.random_state) .reshape((-1,))) std_x_tmp = np.std(current_state, axis=0) multi_rvs = Multinomial(n=1, p=[1.0 / self.jump_rate, ] * self.jump_rate).rvs( nsamples=self.n_chains, random_state=self.random_state) d_ind = np.nonzero(multi_rvs)[1] as_ = [r_diff[j, draw[slice(d_ind[j]), j]] for j in range(self.n_chains)] bs_ = [r_diff[j, draw[slice(d_ind[j], 2 * d_ind[j], 1), j]] for j in range(self.n_chains)] multi_rvs = Multinomial(n=1, p=self.cross_prob).rvs( nsamples=self.n_chains, random_state=self.random_state) id_ = np.nonzero(multi_rvs)[1] # id = np.random.choice(self.n_CR, size=(self.nchains, ), replace=True, trial_probability=self.pCR) z = (Uniform().rvs(nsamples=self.n_chains * self.dimension, random_state=self.random_state, ) .reshape((self.n_chains, self.dimension))) subset_a = [np.where(z_j < cross[id_j])[0] for (z_j, id_j) in zip(z, id_)] # subset A of selected dimensions d_star = np.array([len(a_j) for a_j in subset_a]) for j in range(self.n_chains): if d_star[j] == 0: subset_a[j] = np.array([np.argmin(z[j])]) d_star[j] = 1 gamma_d = 2.38 / np.sqrt(2 * (d_ind + 1) * d_star) g = (Binomial(n=1, p=self.gamma_probability).rvs(nsamples=self.n_chains, random_state=self.random_state) .reshape((-1,))) g[g == 0] = gamma_d[g == 0] norm_vars = (Normal(loc=0.0, scale=1.0).rvs(nsamples=self.n_chains ** 2, random_state=self.random_state) .reshape((self.n_chains, self.n_chains))) for j in range(self.n_chains): for i in subset_a[j]: dx[j, i] = self.c_star * norm_vars[j, i] + (1 + lmda[j]) * g[j] * np.sum(current_state[as_[j], i] - current_state[bs_[j], i]) candidates = current_state + dx # Evaluate log likelihood of candidates logp_candidates = self.evaluate_log_target(candidates) # Accept or reject accept_vec = np.zeros((self.n_chains,)) unif_rvs = (Uniform().rvs(nsamples=self.n_chains, random_state=self.random_state) .reshape((-1,))) for nc, (lpc, candidate, log_p_curr) in enumerate( zip(logp_candidates, candidates, current_log_pdf)): accept = np.log(unif_rvs[nc]) < lpc - log_p_curr if accept: current_state[nc, :] = candidate current_log_pdf[nc] = lpc accept_vec[nc] = 1.0 else: dx[nc, :] = 0 self.j_ind[id_[nc]] = self.j_ind[id_[nc]] + np.sum((dx[nc, :] / std_x_tmp) ** 2) self.n_id[id_[nc]] += 1 # Save the acceptance rate self._update_acceptance_rate(accept_vec) # update selection cross prob if (self.iterations_number < self.crossover_adaptation[0] and self.iterations_number % self.crossover_adaptation[1] == 0): self.cross_prob = self.j_ind / self.n_id self.cross_prob /= sum(self.cross_prob) # check outlier chains (only if you have saved at least 100 values already) if ((self.samples_counter >= 100) and (self.iterations_number < self.check_chains[0]) and (self.iterations_number % self.check_chains[1] == 0)): self.check_outlier_chains(replace_with_best=True) return current_state, current_log_pdf
def check_outlier_chains(self, replace_with_best: bool = False): if not self.save_log_pdf: raise ValueError("UQpy: Input save_log_pdf must be True in order to check outlier chains") start_ = self.nsamples_per_chain // 2 avgs_logpdf = np.mean(self.log_pdf_values[start_: self.nsamples_per_chain], axis=0) best_ = np.argmax(avgs_logpdf) avg_sorted = np.sort(avgs_logpdf) ind1, ind3 = (1 + round(0.25 * self.n_chains), 1 + round(0.75 * self.n_chains),) q1, q3 = avg_sorted[ind1], avg_sorted[ind3] qr = q3 - q1 outlier_num = 0 for j in range(self.n_chains): if avgs_logpdf[j] < q1 - 2.0 * qr: outlier_num += 1 if replace_with_best: self.samples[start_:, j, :] = self.samples[start_:, best_, :].copy() self.log_pdf_values[start_:, j] = self.log_pdf_values[ start_:, best_ ].copy() else: self.logger.info("UQpy: Chain {} is an outlier chain".format(j)) if outlier_num > 0: self.logger.info("UQpy: Detected {} outlier chains".format(outlier_num))